Raiders vs. Saints prediction favors New Orleans to win in NFL Week 3 [2026]

Since our Raiders-Saints predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Raiders and Saints, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Saints a 64.2% chance of defeating the Raiders in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Saints winning 24-20.

Key factors favoring the Saints:

• Las Vegas Raiders Offensive Efficiency
• New Orleans Saints Power Rankings
• New Orleans Saints QB Change / Form

According to our model, the Saints (-3.5) have a 51.3% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 43.5 points has a 54.6% chance of going over.

The main contributing factors to the over being more likely are:

• Weather / Conditions
• QB Ratings

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 3 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Raiders +3.5 (-111) / Saints -3.5 (+108)
• Moneyline: Raiders +164, Saints -167
• Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-108/+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Saints -3.5 @ 48¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Saints @ 63¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 43.5 @ 52¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Saints -3.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Raiders vs. Saints TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Raiders vs. Saints?

According to our model, Ashton Jeanty is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Raiders vs. Saints.

Our projections give Jeanty a 47.7% chance of scoring a TD at Caesars Superdome, while the running back is a 12.9% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

• Ashton Jeanty (RB): 47.7% probability
• Brock Bowers (TE): 29.8%
• Tre Tucker (WR): 22.0%
• Jalen Nailor (WR): 17.8%
• Michael Mayer (TE): 15.5%

New Orleans Saints

• Chris Olave (WR): 41.9% prob.
• Travis Etienne (RB): 36.7%
• Alvin Kamara (RB): 29.9%
• Devaughn Vele (WR): 24.4%
• Juwan Johnson (TE): 22.5%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

• Ashton Jeanty (RB): 12.9% prob.
• Brock Bowers (TE): 7.0%
• Tre Tucker (WR): 5.0%
• Jalen Nailor (WR): 3.9%
• Michael Mayer (TE): 3.3%

New Orleans Saints

• Chris Olave (WR): 11.0% prob.
• Travis Etienne (RB): 9.3%
• Alvin Kamara (RB): 7.2%
• Devaughn Vele (WR): 5.7%
• Juwan Johnson (TE): 5.2%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Raiders and Saints. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 3 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Kirk Cousins is projected for 218 passing yards, while the Saints' Tyler Shough is expected to throw for 255 yards.

Raiders rushing

• Ashton Jeanty: 68 yds
• Mike Washington: 17 yds
• Kirk Cousins: 4 yds

Saints rushing

• Travis Etienne: 45 yds
• Alvin Kamara: 30 yds
• Tyler Shough: 18 yds

Raiders receiving

• Brock Bowers: 47 yds
• Tre Tucker: 47 yds
• Jalen Nailor: 31 yds
• Ashton Jeanty: 26 yds
• Michael Mayer: 24 yds

Saints receiving

• Chris Olave: 81 yds
• Devaughn Vele: 52 yds
• Juwan Johnson: 40 yds
• Bryce Lance: 22 yds
• Alvin Kamara: 19 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 3 matchup between the Saints and Raiders at Caesars Superdome is scheduled to start at 4:25 PM ET.

• Who: Las Vegas Raiders vs. New Orleans Saints
• Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
• Time: 4:25 PM ET/1:25PM PT
• Venue: Caesars Superdome

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Conclusion

We predict the Saints, with a 64.2% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 3 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.