Cardinals vs. 49ers prediction favors San Francisco to win in NFL Week 3 [2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 76.1% win probability for the 49ers at Levi's Stadium.

The San Francisco 49ers will square off with the Arizona Cardinals in NFL Week 3 action at Levi's Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 4:05 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the 49ers as the most likely winner in this Cardinals vs. 49ers prediction.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Cardinals vs. Niners prediction and odds
Our leading predictive model currently gives the 49ers a 76.1% chance of defeating the Cardinals in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the 49ers winning 27-19.
Key factors favoring the 49ers:
- San Francisco 49ers Offensive Efficiency
- San Francisco 49ers Power Rankings
- San Francisco 49ers QB Change / Form
According to our model, the 49ers (-7.5) have a 53.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 54.2% chance of staying under.
The main contributing factors to the under being more likely are:
- Arizona Cardinals Form
- Weather / Conditions
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 3 straight up picks.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Cardinals +7.5 (+100) / 49ers -7.5 (-102)
- Moneyline: Cardinals +335, 49ers -335
- Total: Over/Under 48.5 (+104/-104)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: 49ers -7.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Cardinals @ +335 via BetRivers
- Total: Under 48.5 @ 51¢ via Novig
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 48.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Cardinals vs. 49ers TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Cardinals vs. 49ers?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Christian McCaffrey is most likely to score an anytime TD in Cardinals vs. 49ers.
Our projections give McCaffrey a 61.3% chance of getting in for six at Levi's Stadium, while the running back is a 16.2% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Arizona Cardinals
- Jeremiyah Love (RB): 39.5% probability
- Trey McBride (TE): 34.8%
- Tyler Allgeier (RB): 28.4%
- Michael Wilson (WR): 26.5%
- Marvin Harrison (WR): 19.4%
San Francisco 49ers
- Christian McCaffrey (RB): 61.3% prob.
- Mike Evans (WR): 37.4%
- George Kittle (TE): 34.4%
- Deebo Samuel (WR): 30.7%
- Brock Purdy (QB): 22.4%
First touchdown scorer predictions
Arizona Cardinals
- Jeremiyah Love (RB): 9.6% prob.
- Trey McBride (TE): 8.2%
- Tyler Allgeier (RB): 6.4%
- Michael Wilson (WR): 5.9%
- Marvin Harrison (WR): 4.1%
San Francisco 49ers
- Christian McCaffrey (RB): 16.2% prob.
- Mike Evans (WR): 8.0%
- George Kittle (TE): 7.2%
- Deebo Samuel (WR): 6.3%
- Brock Purdy (QB): 4.3%
Top player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Cardinals and 49ers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 3 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Cardinals' Jacoby Brissett is projected for 231 passing yards, while the 49ers' Brock Purdy is expected to throw for 240 yards.
Cardinals rushing
- Jeremiyah Love: 45 yds
- Tyler Allgeier: 36 yds
- Jacoby Brissett: 12 yds
49ers rushing
- Christian McCaffrey: 63 yds
- Kaelon Black: 33 yds
- Brock Purdy: 20 yds
Cardinals receiving
- Trey McBride: 68 yds
- Michael Wilson: 50 yds
- Marvin Harrison: 38 yds
- Kendrick Bourne: 30 yds
- Jeremiyah Love: 19 yds
49ers receiving
- Mike Evans: 59 yds
- George Kittle: 49 yds
- Deebo Samuel: 46 yds
- Christian McCaffrey: 40 yds
- Jacob Cowing: 13 yds
Game info & kickoff details
The NFL Week 3 game between the 49ers and Cardinals at Levi's Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:05 PM ET.
- Who: Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers
- Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026
- Time: 4:05 PM ET/1:05PM PT
- Venue: Levi's Stadium
NFL Week 3 promo
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Conclusion
We predict the 49ers, with a 76.1% win probability, will likely beat the Cardinals in Week 3 of the NFL season.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



