Wright State vs. Virginia prediction: Virginia favored to win men's March Madness First Round matchup [3/20/2026]

Virginia and Wright State will lock horns in March Madness First Round action at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Friday, starting at 1:50 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Virginia as the most likely winner of the Wright State vs. Virginia game.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Wright State vs. Virginia prediction: Who will win and advance to the Second Round?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NCAAM Tournament game between Wright State and Virginia 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Virginia a 96% chance of beating Wright State. Our predicted final score has Virginia winning 83-63.

According to our model, Virginia (-18.5) has a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 146.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

Wright State vs. Virginia odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Wright State	Virginia
Spread	+18.5 (-115)	-18.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+1400	-2400
Total	o146.5 (-110)	u146.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Wright State vs. Virginia picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Virginia -18.5	-105
Moneyline	Virginia	-2400
Total	Over 146.5	-110

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Virginia -18.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Wright State vs. Virginia game-day updates and essential details

Friday's men's college basketball action between Virginia and Wright State at Xfinity Mobile Arena is scheduled to start at 1:50 PM ET.

• Who: Wright State vs. Virginia
• Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
• Time: 1:50 PM ET/10:50AM PT
• Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena
• March Madness stage: First Round

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Conclusion

We predict Virginia, with a 96% win probability, will likely beat Wright State this men's March Madness First Round matchup.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Wright State vs. Virginia insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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