Women's college basketball picks today: Thursday's best bets include Louisville vs. Notre Dame play [1/15/2026]

Notre Dame ML (+106)

• Edge: 31.8%
• Probability: 80.4%
• Matchup: Louisville vs. Notre Dame (6:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has identified value on Notre Dame to defeat Louisville at +106 odds. A 80.4% probability produces an edge of 31.8%, making this the strongest play for today's women's college basketball slate.

Notre Dame +3.5 (-114)

• Edge: 20.8%
• Probability: 74%
• Matchup: Louisville vs. Notre Dame (6:00PM ET, Thursday)

Notre Dame +3.5 carries a 20.8% edge and a probability of 74% at -114 odds, according to our model.

Mississippi State ML (+430)

• Edge: 12.0%
• Probability: 30.9%
• Matchup: Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State (6:30PM ET, Thursday)

Mississippi State ML at +430 odds shows a 12.0% edge, supported by a 30.9% probability in simulations.

South Carolina ML (-178)

• Edge: 11.8%
• Probability: 75.8%
• Matchup: Texas vs. South Carolina (7:00PM ET, Thursday)

An 11.8% edge and 75.8% probability make South Carolina at the moneyline at a value play in the Texas vs. South Carolina matchup, per our model.

Iowa ML (-230)

• Edge: 10.6%
• Probability: 80.1%
• Matchup: Oregon vs. Iowa (9:00PM ET, Thursday)

Iowa ML at -230 odds presents a 10.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 80.1%.

Texas vs. South Carolina under 140.5 points (-114)

• Edge: 10.1%
• Probability: 63.4%
• Matchup: Texas vs. South Carolina (7:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model finds value on under 140.5 points in Texas vs. South Carolina at -114 odds, supported by an edge of 10.1%.

Oregon vs. Iowa under 139.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 59.7%
• Matchup: Oregon vs. Iowa (9:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has uncovered value on Oregon vs. Iowa under 139.5 points at -108 odds. A 59.7% probability produces a 7.8% edge, making this a strong play for today's Women's College Basketball action.

Iowa -5.5 (-112)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 60.5%
• Matchup: Oregon vs. Iowa (9:00PM ET, Thursday)

A 7.7% edge on a 60.5% probability makes Iowa -5.5 at -112 odds a solid value play in today's Oregon vs. Iowa matchup.

Mississippi State +9.5 (-112)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 59.4%
• Matchup: Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State (6:30PM ET, Thursday)

Our model projects value on Mississippi State +9.5 at -112 odds. A 59.4% probability produces a 6.5% edge, making Mississippi State the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Alabama vs. Auburn over 122.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Matchup: Alabama vs. Auburn (9:00PM ET, Thursday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Alabama vs. Auburn over 122.5 points at -110 odds shows a 58.6% probability and a 6.2% edge.

NCAAW best bets summary: Thursday, 1/15/2026

As of 12:31PM ET, here are our top women's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Louisville vs. Notre Dame	Notre Dame ML	+106 @ FanDuel	31.8%	80.4%
Louisville vs. Notre Dame	Notre Dame +3.5	-114 @ FanDuel	20.8%	74%
Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State	Mississippi State ML	+430 @ FanDuel	12.0%	30.9%
Texas vs. South Carolina	South Carolina ML	-178 @ FanDuel	11.8%	75.8%
Oregon vs. Iowa	Iowa ML	-230 @ DraftKings	10.6%	80.1%
Texas vs. South Carolina	Under 140.5 Points	-114 @ FanDuel	10.1%	63.4%
Oregon vs. Iowa	Under 139.5 Points	-108 @ DraftKings	7.8%	59.7%
Oregon vs. Iowa	Iowa -5.5	-112 @ DraftKings	7.7%	60.5%
Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State	Mississippi State +9.5	-112 @ DraftKings	6.5%	59.4%
Alabama vs. Auburn	Over 122.5 Points	-110 @ DraftKings	6.2%	58.6%

List of upcoming women's college basketball games to bet on now

• Abilene Christian vs. California Baptist (2:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Louisville vs. Notre Dame (6:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State (6:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Texas vs. South Carolina (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Nebraska vs. Michigan State (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Florida vs. Kentucky (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Illinois vs. Michigan (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Villanova vs. Connecticut (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Miami (FL) vs. North Carolina (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Oregon vs. Iowa (9:00PM ET, Thursday)

What Is Dimebot?

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Conclusion

Our women's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for January 15, 2026, featuring plays such as Notre Dame ML and Notre Dame +3.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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