Best WNBA bets today: Wednesday's picks include Lynx vs. Storm play [7/22/2026]
Get WNBA picks today and best bets for Wednesday, July 22, 2026.
Today’s best WNBA bets for July 22, 2026 are here, with Lynx vs. Storm and Mercury vs. Sparks among the top plays identified by our model across Wednesday’s WNBA action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest WNBA odds to unearth real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of WNBA best bets today [7/22, updated 5:08AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 WNBA bets, ranked by edge for Wednesday, July 22, 2026.
Lynx vs. Storm Under 179.5 points (-109)
- Edge: 21.6%
- Probability: 73.7%
- Matchup: Lynx vs. Storm (3:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Under 179.5 points in Lynx vs. Storm at -109 odds. A 73.7% probability produces an edge of 21.6%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.
Mercury vs. Sparks Under 178.5 points (-104)
- Edge: 21.5%
- Probability: 72.4%
- Matchup: Mercury vs. Sparks (3:00PM ET)
Mercury vs. Sparks under 178.5 points carries a 21.5% edge and a probability of 72.4% at -104 odds, according to our model.
Sun vs. Fever Under 178.5 points (+115)
- Edge: 18.3%
- Probability: 64.8%
- Matchup: Sun vs. Fever (8:00PM ET)
Sun vs. Fever Under 178.5 points at +115 odds shows a 18.3% edge, supported by a 64.8% probability in simulations.
Sky vs. Liberty under 179.5 points (-110)
- Edge: 16.0%
- Probability: 68.4%
- Matchup: Sky vs. Liberty (7:00PM ET)
A 16.0% edge and 68.4% probability make Sky vs. Liberty under 179.5 points a value play in the Sky vs. Liberty matchup, per our model.
Wings vs. Fire Under 174.5 points (-102)
- Edge: 14.3%
- Probability: 64.8%
- Matchup: Wings vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
Wings vs. Fire Under 174.5 points at -102 odds presents a 14.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 64.8%.
Storm +10.5 (-105)
- Edge: 6.2%
- Probability: 57.4%
- Matchup: Lynx vs. Storm (3:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Storm +10.5 at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 6.2%.
Sun +10.5 (-108)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 57.2%
- Matchup: Sun vs. Fever (8:00PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Sun +10.5 at -108 odds. A 57.2% probability produces a 5.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.
Aces vs. Mystics Over 163.5 points (-110)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 57.5%
- Matchup: Aces vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)
A 5.1% edge on a 57.5% probability makes Over 163.5 points at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Aces vs. Mystics matchup.
Sparks ML (-125)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 60.6%
- Matchup: Mercury vs. Sparks (3:00PM ET)
Our model projects value on Sparks to win at -125 odds. A 60.6% probability produces a 5.0% edge, making Sparks the favorable ML play in today's matchup.
Sparks -2.5 (-104)
- Edge: 2.4%
- Probability: 53.4%
- Matchup: Mercury vs. Sparks (3:00PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Sparks -2.5 at -104 odds shows a 53.4% probability and a 2.4% edge.
WNBA best bets summary: Wednesday, 7/22/2026
As of 5:08AM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lynx vs. Storm | Under 179.5 points | -109 @ BetRivers | 21.6% | 73.7% |
| Mercury vs. Sparks | Under 178.5 points | -104 @ Novig | 21.5% | 72.4% |
| Sun vs. Fever | Under 178.5 Points | +115 @ Novig | 18.3% | 64.8% |
| Sky vs. Liberty | Under 179.5 points | -110 @ BetMGM | 16.0% | 68.4% |
| Wings vs. Fire | Under 174.5 Points | -102 @ Novig | 14.3% | 64.8% |
| Lynx vs. Storm | Storm +10.5 | -105 @ Fanatics | 6.2% | 57.4% |
| Sun vs. Fever | Sun +10.5 | -108 @ Novig | 5.3% | 57.2% |
| Aces vs. Mystics | Over 163.5 Points | -110 @ FanDuel | 5.1% | 57.5% |
| Mercury vs. Sparks | Sparks ML | -125 @ Novig | 5.0% | 60.6% |
| Mercury vs. Sparks | Sparks -2.5 | -104 @ Novig | 2.4% | 53.4% |
List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [7/22/2026]
- Mercury vs. Sparks (3:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Lynx vs. Storm (3:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Sky vs. Liberty (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Aces vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
- Sun vs. Fever (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Wings vs. Fire (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)
Conclusion
Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for July 22, 2026, featuring plays such as under 179.5 points in the Lynx vs. Storm matchup and under 178.5 points in the Mercury vs. Sparks matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
