Newcastle Knights vs. Wests Tigers prediction: Knights favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 17 matchup [6/28/2026]
Get Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers predictions for NRL Sunday.
The Newcastle Knights will take on the Wests Tigers in National Rugby League (NRL) action at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday, starting at 2:05 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NRL model predicts the Knights as the most likely winner of the Tigers vs. Knights game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Knights vs. Tigers prediction: Who will win Round 17 game?
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Knights a 76.7% chance of beating the Tigers.
According to our model, the Knights (-8.5) have a 53.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has a 58.8% chance of staying under,.
Tigers vs. Knights odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tigers | Knights |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +195 | -263 |
| Line (Spread) | +8.5 (-120) | -8.5 (-110) |
| Total | o51.5 (-115) | u51.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tigers vs. Knights picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Knights -8.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Knights | bet_rivers_in-263 |
| Total | Under 51.5 | -115 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 51.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Knights vs. Tigers game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rugby league matchup between the Knights and Tigers at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to commence at 2:05 AM ET.
- Who: Wests Tigers vs. Newcastle Knights
- Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
- Time: 2:05 AM ET/11:05PM PT
- Venue: McDonald Jones Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Knights, with a 76.7% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Sunday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
