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Wizards vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Memphis is favored to win Saturday's NBA matchup [12/20/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Washington Wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Saturday.
The Memphis Grizzlies and Washington Wizards will meet in NBA action at FedExForum on Saturday, with tipoff at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Grizzlies as the most likely winner of the Wizards vs. Grizzlies game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature players like Jaren Jackson, Cam Spencer and Santi Aldama, while the Wizards will look to CJ McCollum, Alex Sarr and Kyshawn George.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wizards vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NBA matchup between the Wizards and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Grizzlies an 82% chance of defeating the Wizards. Our predicted final score has the Grizzlies winning 121-111.
According to our model, the Wizards (+11.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 233.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Wizards vs. Grizzlies odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wizards | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11.5 (-105) | -11.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +460 | -600 |
| Total | o233.5 (-106) | u233.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wizards vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Wizards +11.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Wizards | +460 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Wizards +11.5 at the spread.
Wizards vs. Grizzlies player props
NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Saturday's Wizards vs. Grizzlies matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.
CJ McCollum is expected to lead the Wizards with 19 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while Jaren Jackson is projected to have 22 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists for the Grizzlies.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Wizards prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Wizards are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum | 19 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| Alex Sarr | 17 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 37 |
| Kyshawn George | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 36 |
| Khris Middleton | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| Bub Carrington | 12 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 29 |
Grizzlies prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson | 22 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 40 |
| Cam Spencer | 16 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 35 |
| Santi Aldama | 16 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 37 |
| Cedric Coward | 15 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 34 |
| Jock Landale | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
Wizards vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Grizzlies and Wizards at FedExForum is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Wizards vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Saturday, December 20, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict the Grizzlies, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat the Wizards on Saturday, with Jaren Jackson projected for a game-high 40 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Wizards vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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