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Nationals vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [4/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Washington Nationals vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Tuesday.
The New York Mets and Washington Nationals will meet in MLB action at Citi Field on Tuesday, starting at 7:10 PM ET.
The Mets will have Clay Holmes (2-2, 2.10 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Nationals will counter with Zack Littell (0-3, 7.56 ERA).
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Mets as the most likely winner of the Nationals vs. Mets game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Nationals vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's MLB game between the Nationals and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mets a 62% chance of defeating the Nationals.
According to our model, the Nationals (+1.5) have a 55% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of eight runs has a 53% chance of going over.
Nationals vs. Mets odds [4/28/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nationals | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-135) | -1.5 (+119) |
| Moneyline | +154 | -180 |
| Total | o8 (-118) | u8 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nationals vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +119 |
| Moneyline | Nationals | +154 |
| Total | Over 8 | -118 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets -1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Nationals vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Nationals at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
- Date: Tuesday, April 28, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat the Nationals in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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