Mets vs. Reds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Reds MLB game on June 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Mets
Nolan McLean 3-4, 4.01 ERA
9
1
Great American Ball Park
Reds
Nick Lodolo 2-1, 5.21 ERA
Great American Ball Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
0 0 3 0 4 0 0 2 0 9 15 2
Reds
0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    100%
  • Reds
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Edwin Arroyo grounds out to shortstop, Zack Short to Mark Vientos.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Benge RF5110000.2000.800
2 B. Bichette 3B4331010.7501.550
3 M. Melendez LF0000000.0000.000
4 B. Baty 2B0000000.0000.000
5 M. Vientos 1B4012001.2500.450
6 F. Alvarez DH5131000.6001.200
7 A. Ewing CF4012011.2500.900
8 L. Torrens C5110000.2000.400
9 Z. Short SS3000002.0000.000
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 E. Arroyo 2B4000001.0000.200
2 J. Bleday LF2001010.0000.250
3 S. Stewart 3B4010001.2500.750
4 D. Myers CF1000000.0000.000
5 E. Suárez DH4000001.0000.000
6 S. Steer 1B4000002.0000.000
7 N. Marte RF4010001.2500.750
8 J. Trevino C4110000.2500.500
9 M. McLain SS3010012.3331.167

Mets vs. Reds: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mets vs. Reds
  • Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
  • Time: 12:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mets favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mets 56¢, Reds 44¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mets: 55%
  • Reds: 45%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 55%, while the Reds have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Reds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.