Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: Close Contest Predicted in Updated Analysis for Thursday's MLB Game [7/11/2024]

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: Close Contest Predicted in Updated Analysis for Thursday's MLB Game [7/11/2024]

The New York Mets and Washington Nationals will lock horns in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, starting at 1:10PM ET.

David Peterson (3-0, 3.58 ERA) will start for the Mets, up against MacKenzie Gore (6-7, 3.83 ERA) for the Nationals.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Nationals-Mets game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Mets with a win probability of 57% and the Nationals with 43%."

Nationals vs. Mets Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB game between the Mets and Nationals at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 1:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Nationals vs. Mets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mets vs. Nationals picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Nationals vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB game between the Nationals and Mets 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mets a 57% chance of beating the Nationals.

According to our model, the Nationals (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 51% chance of going over.


Nationals vs. Mets Odds [7/11/2024]

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Nationals Mets
Run Line +1.5 (-160) -1.5 (+140)
Moneyline +125 -144
Total o8.5 (-115) u8.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Nationals vs. Mets Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Nationals vs. Mets matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot: Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.


We predict the Mets, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Nationals on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nationals vs. Mets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on MLB

Stay updated with the most recent MLB news and our data-driven MLB parlay picks all season long. Plus, our World Series odds give you the most up-to-date projections and the best available odds on the World Series, American League, National League, and each division.

Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for MLB and NFL, uses his deep knowledge to craft game previews for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. He also brings his expertise to the golf world with tournament previews and parlays for the PGA TOUR and major golf tournaments. Additionally, Dave offers valuable props for NBA, MLB, NHL, and NCAAM basketball, along with best bets for MLB, NHL, and NCAAM. 

When not delving into the world of sports, Dave is an avid advocate for New Haven pizza, enjoys reading comic books, gardening, and spending time with his cats. His broad interests and detailed sports insights ensure that his contributions are both engaging and informative.

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