Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: Close Contest Predicted in Updated Analysis for Thursday's MLB Game [7/11/2024]

The New York Mets and Washington Nationals will lock horns in MLB action at Citi Field on Thursday, starting at 1:10PM ET.

David Peterson (3-0, 3.58 ERA) will start for the Mets, up against MacKenzie Gore (6-7, 3.83 ERA) for the Nationals.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Nationals-Mets game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Mets with a win probability of 57% and the Nationals with 43%."

Nationals vs. Mets Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Thursday's MLB game between the Mets and Nationals at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 1:10PM ET.

• Who: Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
• Date: Thursday, July 11, 2024
• Time: 1:10PM ET/10:10AM PT
• Venue: Citi Field

Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Nationals vs. Mets matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mets vs. Nationals picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Nationals vs. Mets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB game between the Nationals and Mets 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mets a 57% chance of beating the Nationals.

According to our model, the Nationals (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 51% chance of going over.

Nationals vs. Mets Odds [7/11/2024]

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Nationals	Mets
Run Line	+1.5 (-160)	-1.5 (+140)
Moneyline	+125	-144
Total	o8.5 (-115)	u8.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Nationals vs. Mets Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Nationals vs. Mets matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Calling Our Shot: Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Conclusion

We predict the Mets, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Nationals on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nationals vs. Mets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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