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Capitals vs. Sharks prediction: Washington favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [12/3/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Washington Capitals vs San Jose Sharks predictions for NHL Wednesday.
The San Jose Sharks will face the Washington Capitals in NHL action at SAP Center at San Jose on Wednesday, commencing at 10:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Capitals as the most likely winner of the Capitals vs. Sharks game.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Caps vs. Sharks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NHL matchup between the Capitals and Sharks 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Capitals a 60% chance of beating the Sharks.
According to our model, the Sharks (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Capitals vs. Sharks odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Capitals | Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+170) | +1.5 (-200) |
| Moneyline | -145 | +124 |
| Total | o6 (-115) | u6 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Capitals vs. Sharks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Capitals -1.5 | +170 |
| Moneyline | Capitals | -145 |
| Total | Under 6 | -105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Capitals to win.
Capitals vs. Sharks player props
Who will score a goal in Capitals vs. Sharks?
According to our model, Alex Ovechkin is most likely to score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Sharks.
Our projections give Ovechkin a 37.3% chance of scoring a goal at SAP Center at San Jose, while the star is a 7.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 37.3% |
| Tom Wilson | 33.6% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 32.2% |
| Dylan Strome | 28.8% |
| Jakob Chychrun | 24.7% |
San Jose Sharks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 37.0% |
| Will Smith | 31.7% |
| William Eklund | 25.5% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 25.3% |
| Adam Gaudette | 21.4% |
First goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 7.9% |
| Tom Wilson | 6.7% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 6.3% |
| Dylan Strome | 5.7% |
| Jakob Chychrun | 4.5% |
San Jose Sharks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 7.6% |
| Will Smith | 6.2% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 4.4% |
| William Eklund | 4.4% |
| Adam Gaudette | 4.0% |
Caps vs. Sharks game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between the Sharks and Capitals at SAP Center at San Jose is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.
- Who: Washington Capitals vs. San Jose Sharks
- Date: Wednesday, December 3, 2025
- Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: SAP Center at San Jose
Conclusion
We predict the Capitals, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Sharks on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Capitals vs. Sharks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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