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Capitals vs. Wild prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [12/16/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Washington Capitals vs Minnesota Wild predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Minnesota Wild will face the Washington Capitals, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at Grand Casino Arena on Tuesday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Wild a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Capitals.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's Capitals vs. Wild matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Caps vs. Wild prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Capitals and Wild 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Wild a 51% chance of defeating the Capitals.
According to our model, the 5.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Capitals vs. Wild odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Capitals | Wild |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -105 | -114 |
| Total | o5.5 (-124) | u5.5 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Capitals vs. Wild picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Capitals | -105 |
| Total | Under 5.5 | +105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 5.5 total goals.
Capitals vs. Wild player props
Who will score a goal in Capitals vs. Wild?
According to our model, Kirill Kaprizov is most likely to score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Wild.
Our projections give Kaprizov a 45.1% chance of scoring a goal at Grand Casino Arena, while the star is a 10.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 33.6% |
| Tom Wilson | 28.9% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 27.0% |
| Dylan Strome | 26.1% |
| Jakob Chychrun | 22.6% |
Minnesota Wild
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 45.1% |
| Matt Boldy | 33.9% |
| Joel Ek | 24.9% |
| Marcus Johansson | 21.5% |
| Danila Yurov | 21.0% |
First goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 7.4% |
| Tom Wilson | 5.6% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 5.5% |
| Dylan Strome | 5.3% |
| Connor McMichael | 4.2% |
Minnesota Wild
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 10.9% |
| Matt Boldy | 6.7% |
| Joel Ek | 4.7% |
| Marcus Johansson | 4.3% |
| Danila Yurov | 3.9% |
Caps vs. Wild game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's matchup between the Wild and Capitals at Grand Casino Arena is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Capitals vs. Minnesota Wild
- Date: Tuesday, December 16, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Grand Casino Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Wild, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Capitals on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Capitals vs. Wild insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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