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Capitals vs. Panthers prediction: Florida favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [12/29/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Washington Capitals vs Florida Panthers predictions for NHL Monday.
The Florida Panthers and Washington Capitals will lock horns in the NHL at Amerant Bank Arena on Monday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Panthers a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Capitals.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's Capitals vs. Panthers matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Caps vs. Panthers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL matchup between the Capitals and Panthers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Panthers a 54% chance of defeating the Capitals.
According to our model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over.
Capitals vs. Panthers odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Capitals | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-218) | -1.5 (+186) |
| Moneyline | +110 | -128 |
| Total | o5.5 (-120) | u5.5 (+102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Capitals vs. Panthers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Capitals +1.5 | -218 |
| Moneyline | Panthers | -128 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -120 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.
Capitals vs. Panthers player props
Who will score a goal in Capitals vs. Panthers?
According to our model, Sam Reinhart is most likely to score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Panthers.
Our projections give Reinhart a 39.5% chance of scoring a goal at Amerant Bank Arena, while the star is an 8.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 30.4% |
| Tom Wilson | 29.5% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 25.7% |
| Dylan Strome | 24.8% |
| Ryan Leonard | 23.6% |
Florida Panthers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sam Reinhart | 39.5% |
| Sam Bennett | 34.4% |
| Brad Marchand | 33.6% |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 29.0% |
| Anton Lundell | 21.5% |
First goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 6.6% |
| Tom Wilson | 5.3% |
| Dylan Strome | 4.8% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 4.6% |
| Ryan Leonard | 4.3% |
Florida Panthers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sam Reinhart | 8.4% |
| Sam Bennett | 6.9% |
| Brad Marchand | 6.1% |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 5.4% |
| Anton Lundell | 3.9% |
Caps vs. Panthers game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Panthers and Capitals at Amerant Bank Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Capitals vs. Florida Panthers
- Date: Monday, December 29, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Amerant Bank Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Panthers, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Capitals on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Capitals vs. Panthers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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