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Capitals vs. Ducks prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Friday's NHL matchup [12/5/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Washington Capitals vs Anaheim Ducks predictions for NHL Friday.
NHL action continues on Friday at 10:00PM ET as the Washington Capitals square off with the Anaheim Ducks at Honda Center.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Capitals as the most likely winner of the Capitals vs. Ducks game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Caps vs. Ducks prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NHL game between the Capitals and Ducks 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Capitals a 57% chance of defeating the Ducks.
According to our model, the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 52% chance of staying under.
Capitals vs. Ducks odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Capitals | Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -140 | +120 |
| Total | o6.5 (-120) | u6.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Capitals vs. Ducks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Capitals | -140 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +100 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Capitals vs. Ducks player props
Who will score a goal in Capitals vs. Ducks?
According to our model, Alex Ovechkin is most likely to score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Ducks.
Our projections give Ovechkin a 35.7% chance of scoring a goal at Honda Center, while the star is a 7.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 35.7% |
| Tom Wilson | 33.2% |
| Dylan Strome | 31.5% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 30.8% |
| Ryan Leonard | 25.8% |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Chris Kreider | 31.9% |
| Cutter Gauthier | 31.7% |
| Leo Carlsson | 31.0% |
| Troy Terry | 22.0% |
| Mason McTavish | 21.5% |
First goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 7.3% |
| Tom Wilson | 6.9% |
| Dylan Strome | 6.1% |
| Aliaksei Protas | 5.4% |
| Jakob Chychrun | 4.8% |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cutter Gauthier | 6.4% |
| Chris Kreider | 6.1% |
| Leo Carlsson | 5.6% |
| Troy Terry | 4.1% |
| Beckett Sennecke | 3.7% |
Caps vs. Ducks game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between the Ducks and Capitals at Honda Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00PM ET.
- Who: Washington Capitals vs. Anaheim Ducks
- Date: Friday, December 5, 2025
- Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Honda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Capitals, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Ducks on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Capitals vs. Ducks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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