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Virginia vs. Iowa prediction: Why Iowa is favored to win women's March Madness Second Round matchup [3/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Virginia vs Iowa predictions for college basketball Monday.
Iowa will square off with Virginia in March Madness Second Round action at Carver-Hawkeye Arena on Monday, starting at 2:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects Iowa as the most likely winner of the Virginia vs. Iowa game.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Virginia vs. Iowa prediction: Who will win and advance to the Sweet Sixteen?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NCAAW Tournament game between Virginia and Iowa 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Iowa an 87% chance of defeating Virginia.
According to our model, the 136.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Virginia vs. Iowa odds
We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Virginia | Iowa |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +13.5 (-110) | -13.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +710 | -1099 |
| Total | o136.5 (-110) | u136.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Virginia vs. Iowa picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Iowa -13.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Virginia | +710 |
| Total | Over 136.5 | -110 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 136.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Virginia vs. Iowa game-day updates and essential details
Monday's women's basketball matchup between Iowa and Virginia at Carver-Hawkeye Arena is scheduled to commence at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Virginia vs. Iowa
- Date: Monday, March 23, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
- March Madness stage: Second Round
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Conclusion
We predict Iowa, with an 87% win probability, will likely beat Virginia this women's March Madness Second Round matchup.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Virginia vs. Iowa insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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