Virginia vs. California prediction: Why California is favored to win women's college basketball matchup [2/12/2026]

California and Virginia will lock horns in the women's college basketball at Haas Pavilion on Thursday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' new women's basketball model predicts California as the most likely winner of the Virginia vs. California game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Virginia vs. California prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's women's basketball matchup between Virginia and California 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives California a 73% chance of defeating Virginia.

According to our model, the over/under total of 136.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Virginia vs. California odds

We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Virginia vs. California picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: