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Villareal vs. Real Madrid prediction, odds, La Liga picks [1/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Villareal vs Real Madrid predictions for La Liga Saturday.
Villareal will square off with Real Madrid in La Liga action at Estadio de la Ceramica on Saturday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced La Liga model predicts Real Madrid as the most likely winner of the Villareal vs. Real Madrid game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Villareal vs. Real Madrid prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's La Liga match between Villareal and Real Madrid 10,000 times as part of our La Liga predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 27.8% chance of Villareal winning, a 49.9% chance for Real Madrid, and a 22.3% chance of a draw.
Villareal vs. Real Madrid odds
We have researched the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Villareal | Real Madrid | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +290 | -115 | +310 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Villareal vs. Real Madrid picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Villareal | +290 |
According to our La Liga best bets, the top play to make on this game is Villareal to win.
Villareal vs. Real Madrid: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| VIL 1-1 MAD | 9.9% |
| VIL 1-2 MAD | 9.4% |
| VIL 0-1 MAD | 7.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 63.6% chance that both Villareal and Real Madrid score, and a 36.4% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Villareal vs. Real Madrid game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's La Liga matchup between Villareal and Real Madrid at Estadio de la Ceramica is scheduled to commence in the USA at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Villareal vs. Real Madrid
- Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio de la Ceramica
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Villareal has a 27.8% win probability on Saturday, Real Madrid has a 49.9% win probability, and there is a 22.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Villareal vs. Real Madrid insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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