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Villanova vs. Texas Tech prediction: Why Texas Tech is favored to win women's March Madness First Round matchup [3/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Villanova vs Texas Tech predictions for college basketball Friday.
Texas Tech will face Villanova, in what is expected to be a close women's college basketball game, at Pete Maravich Assembly Center on Friday, commencing at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' new women's basketball model gives Texas Tech a slight edge with a 52% win probability over Villanova.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's Villanova vs. Texas Tech matchup, including best bets and picks.
Villanova vs. Texas Tech prediction: Who will win and advance to the Second Round?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NCAAW Tournament game between Villanova and Texas Tech 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Texas Tech a 52% chance of defeating Villanova.
According to our model, the over/under total of 129.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Villanova vs. Texas Tech odds
We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Villanova | Texas Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-102) | -1.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | +114 | -120 |
| Total | o129.5 (-110) | u129.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Villanova vs. Texas Tech picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Villanova +1.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Villanova | +114 |
| Total | Under 129.5 | -110 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Villanova to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Villanova vs. Texas Tech game-day updates and essential details
Friday's women's basketball action between Texas Tech and Villanova at Pete Maravich Assembly Center is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Villanova vs. Texas Tech
- Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Pete Maravich Assembly Center
- March Madness stage: First Round
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Make the most of Dimers' Villanova vs. Texas Tech predictions by exploring the below offers from OG, Bet365, BetMGM, and Thrillzz.
Conclusion
We predict Texas Tech, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Villanova this women's March Madness First Round matchup.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Villanova vs. Texas Tech insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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