Golden Knights vs. Flyers prediction: Why Vegas is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [12/11/2025]

The Philadelphia Flyers and Vegas Golden Knights will meet in the NHL at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Thursday, with puck drop at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Golden Knights as the most likely winner of the Golden Knights vs. Flyers game.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Golden Knights vs. Flyers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Golden Knights and Flyers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Golden Knights a 57% chance of beating the Flyers.

According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over.

Golden Knights vs. Flyers odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Golden Knights	Flyers
Puck Line	-1.5 (+164)	+1.5 (-190)
Moneyline	-150	+136
Total	o5.5 (-112)	u5.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Golden Knights vs. Flyers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Flyers +1.5	-190
Moneyline	Flyers	+136
Total	Over 5.5	-112

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flyers to win.

Golden Knights vs. Flyers player props

Who will score a goal in Golden Knights vs. Flyers?

According to our model, Jack Eichel is most likely to score an anytime goal in Golden Knights vs. Flyers.

Our projections give Eichel a 34.2% chance of scoring a goal at Xfinity Mobile Arena, while the star is a 6.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Vegas Golden Knights

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Jack Eichel	34.2%
Tomas Hertl	32.1%
Pavel Dorofeyev	29.4%
Ivan Barbashev	26.3%
Braeden Bowman	23.5%

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Travis Konecny	30.0%
Matvei Michkov	28.1%
Trevor Zegras	27.7%
Owen Tippett	26.9%
Bobby Brink	19.8%

First goal scorer predictions

Vegas Golden Knights

Player	First Goal Probability
Jack Eichel	6.3%
Tomas Hertl	5.9%
Pavel Dorofeyev	5.6%
Ivan Barbashev	5.3%
Braeden Bowman	4.6%

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	First Goal Probability
Travis Konecny	6.2%
Trevor Zegras	5.6%
Matvei Michkov	5.1%
Owen Tippett	5.0%
Noah Cates	3.8%

Golden Knights vs. Flyers game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's game between the Flyers and Golden Knights at Xfinity Mobile Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Philadelphia Flyers
• Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Golden Knights, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Golden Knights vs. Flyers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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