Golden Knights vs. Senators prediction: Vegas favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [1/25/2026]

The Ottawa Senators will square off with the Vegas Golden Knights in NHL action at Canadian Tire Centre on Sunday, beginning at 5:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Golden Knights as the most likely winner of the Golden Knights vs. Senators game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Golden Knights vs. Senators prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL game between the Golden Knights and Senators 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Golden Knights a 55% chance of beating the Senators.

According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 56% chance of going over.

Golden Knights vs. Senators odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Golden Knights	Senators
Puck Line	-1.5 (+170)	+1.5 (-200)
Moneyline	-145	+125
Total	o6 (-140)	u6 (+105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Golden Knights vs. Senators picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Senators +1.5	-200
Moneyline	Senators	+125
Total	Over 6	-140

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Senators to win.

Golden Knights vs. Senators player props

Who will score a goal in Golden Knights vs. Senators?

According to our model, Pavel Dorofeyev is most likely to score an anytime goal in Golden Knights vs. Senators.

Our projections give Dorofeyev a 36.2% chance of scoring a goal at Canadian Tire Centre, while the star is a 6.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Vegas Golden Knights

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Pavel Dorofeyev	36.2%
Jack Eichel	34.1%
Tomas Hertl	33.0%
Mark Stone	31.6%
Mitch Marner	26.9%

Ottawa Senators

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk	33.8%
Tim Stutzle	32.3%
Drake Batherson	26.0%
Shane Pinto	23.8%
Dylan Cozens	21.0%

First goal scorer predictions

Vegas Golden Knights

Player	First Goal Probability
Tomas Hertl	6.7%
Jack Eichel	6.4%
Mark Stone	6.2%
Pavel Dorofeyev	6.2%
Mitch Marner	4.8%

Ottawa Senators

Player	First Goal Probability
Brady Tkachuk	6.4%
Tim Stutzle	6.1%
Drake Batherson	4.5%
Shane Pinto	4.2%
Dylan Cozens	3.7%

Golden Knights vs. Senators game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's game between the Senators and Golden Knights at Canadian Tire Centre is scheduled to commence at 5:00 PM ET.

• Who: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Ottawa Senators
• Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
• Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
• Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Conclusion

We predict the Golden Knights, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Senators on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Golden Knights vs. Senators insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.