Golden Knights vs. Islanders prediction: Vegas favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [12/9/2025]

NHL action continues on Tuesday at 7:00PM ET as the Vegas Golden Knights take on the NY Islanders at UBS Arena.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Golden Knights as the most likely winner of the Golden Knights vs. Islanders game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Golden Knights vs. Isles prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Golden Knights and Islanders 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Golden Knights a 55% chance of defeating the Islanders.

According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 52% chance of going over.

Golden Knights vs. Islanders odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Golden Knights	Islanders
Puck Line	-1.5 (+185)	+1.5 (-210)
Moneyline	-142	+124
Total	o5.5 (-104)	u5.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Golden Knights vs. Islanders picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Islanders +1.5	-210
Moneyline	Islanders	+124
Total	Over 5.5	-104

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.

Golden Knights vs. Islanders player props

Who will score a goal in Golden Knights vs. Islanders?

According to our model, Bo Horvat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Golden Knights vs. Islanders.

Our projections give Horvat a 36.3% chance of scoring a goal at UBS Arena, while the star is a 7.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Vegas Golden Knights

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Jack Eichel	33.5%
Tomas Hertl	31.0%
Pavel Dorofeyev	28.3%
Ivan Barbashev	24.8%
Mark Stone	24.7%

NY Islanders

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	36.3%
Mathew Barzal	26.6%
Anders Lee	25.9%
Emil Heineman	20.4%
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	20.2%

First goal scorer predictions

Vegas Golden Knights

Player	First Goal Probability
Tomas Hertl	6.2%
Jack Eichel	6.1%
Pavel Dorofeyev	5.9%
Mark Stone	4.9%
Ivan Barbashev	4.9%

NY Islanders

Player	First Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	7.0%
Mathew Barzal	5.7%
Anders Lee	5.4%
Max Shabanov	3.8%
Emil Heineman	3.8%

Golden Knights vs. Isles game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's matchup between the Islanders and Golden Knights at UBS Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Vegas Golden Knights vs. NY Islanders
• Date: Tuesday, December 9, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: UBS Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Golden Knights, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Golden Knights vs. Islanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.