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Golden Knights vs. Oilers prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [12/21/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Vegas Golden Knights vs Edmonton Oilers predictions for NHL Sunday.
The Edmonton Oilers and Vegas Golden Knights will meet in the NHL at Rogers Place on Sunday, with puck drop at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Oilers as the most likely winner of the Golden Knights vs. Oilers game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Golden Knights vs. Oilers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL matchup between the Golden Knights and Oilers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Oilers a 55% chance of beating the Golden Knights.
According to our model, the Golden Knights (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 51% chance of going over.
Golden Knights vs. Oilers odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Golden Knights | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-210) | -1.5 (+180) |
| Moneyline | +118 | -135 |
| Total | o6 (-118) | u6 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Golden Knights vs. Oilers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Golden Knights +1.5 | -210 |
| Moneyline | Golden Knights | +118 |
| Total | Under 6 | -102 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Golden Knights to win.
Golden Knights vs. Oilers player props
Who will score a goal in Golden Knights vs. Oilers?
According to our model, Leon Draisaitl is most likely to score an anytime goal in Golden Knights vs. Oilers.
Our projections give Draisaitl a 43.7% chance of scoring a goal at Rogers Place, while the star is an 8.6% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tomas Hertl | 35.3% |
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 33.4% |
| Mark Stone | 30.0% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 26.9% |
| Mitch Marner | 22.9% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 43.7% |
| Connor McDavid | 40.6% |
| Zach Hyman | 39.0% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 22.7% |
| Evan Bouchard | 17.9% |
First goal scorer predictions
Vegas Golden Knights
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tomas Hertl | 6.8% |
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 6.3% |
| Mark Stone | 5.9% |
| Ivan Barbashev | 5.1% |
| Mitch Marner | 4.5% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 8.6% |
| Connor McDavid | 8.3% |
| Zach Hyman | 7.7% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 4.2% |
| Evan Bouchard | 2.9% |
Golden Knights vs. Oilers game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between the Oilers and Golden Knights at Rogers Place is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Edmonton Oilers
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Place
Conclusion
We predict the Oilers, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Golden Knights on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Golden Knights vs. Oilers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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