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Golden Knights vs. Blackhawks prediction: Why Vegas is favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [1/4/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Vegas Golden Knights vs Chicago Blackhawks predictions for NHL Sunday.

Vegas Golden Knights-Chicago Blackhawks Predictions and Game Preview.
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Chicago Blackhawks NHL prediction for Sunday, January 4, 2026.

The Chicago Blackhawks will take on the favored Vegas Golden Knights in NHL action at United Center on Sunday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Golden Knights as the most likely winner of the Golden Knights vs. Blackhawks game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Golden Knights vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NHL game between the Golden Knights and Blackhawks 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Golden Knights a 65% chance of beating the Blackhawks.

According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

 

Golden Knights vs. Blackhawks odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Golden Knights Blackhawks
Puck Line -1.5 (-104) +1.5 (-110)
Moneyline -260 +225
Total o6 (-110) u6 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Golden Knights vs. Blackhawks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Puck Line Blackhawks +1.5 -110
Moneyline Blackhawks +225
Total Under 6 -110

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Blackhawks +1.5 at the spread.

 

Golden Knights vs. Blackhawks player props

Who will score a goal in Golden Knights vs. Blackhawks?

According to our model, Pavel Dorofeyev is most likely to score an anytime goal in Golden Knights vs. Blackhawks.

Our projections give Dorofeyev a 33.3% chance of scoring a goal at United Center, while the star is a 6.1% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Pavel Dorofeyev 33.3%
Jack Eichel 31.4%
Tomas Hertl 30.7%
Mark Stone 29.8%
Ivan Barbashev 27.7%

Chicago Blackhawks

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Tyler Bertuzzi 33.1%
Ilya Mikheyev 26.0%
Ryan Donato 25.5%
Teuvo Teravainen 20.8%
Nick Foligno 19.3%

First goal scorer predictions

Vegas Golden Knights

Player First Goal Probability
Tomas Hertl 6.3%
Pavel Dorofeyev 6.1%
Mark Stone 5.8%
Jack Eichel 5.6%
Ivan Barbashev 4.9%

Chicago Blackhawks

Player First Goal Probability
Tyler Bertuzzi 7.3%
Ryan Donato 5.1%
Ilya Mikheyev 4.6%
Teuvo Teravainen 4.2%
Nick Foligno 3.6%

Golden Knights vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Blackhawks and Golden Knights at United Center is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Golden Knights, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Golden Knights vs. Blackhawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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