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Canucks vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [1/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Vancouver Canucks vs Toronto Maple Leafs predictions for NHL Saturday.
NHL action continues on Saturday at 7:00 PM ET as the Vancouver Canucks lock horns with the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of the Canucks vs. Maple Leafs game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Canucks vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Canucks and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 59% chance of beating the Canucks.
According to our model, the Canucks (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 55% chance of going over.
Canucks vs. Maple Leafs odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Canucks | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-180) | -1.5 (+154) |
| Moneyline | +136 | -160 |
| Total | o6 (-130) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Canucks vs. Maple Leafs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Maple Leafs -1.5 | +154 |
| Moneyline | Maple Leafs | -160 |
| Total | Over 6 | -130 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Maple Leafs -1.5 at the spread.
Canucks vs. Maple Leafs player props
Who will score a goal in Canucks vs. Maple Leafs?
According to our model, Auston Matthews is most likely to score an anytime goal in Canucks vs. Maple Leafs.
Our projections give Matthews a 47.2% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the star is a 9.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake DeBrusk | 29.3% |
| Linus Karlsson | 28.9% |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 24.8% |
| Brock Boeser | 24.3% |
| Evander Kane | 21.6% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 47.2% |
| William Nylander | 35.1% |
| John Tavares | 30.7% |
| Bobby McMann | 28.4% |
| Matthew Knies | 27.5% |
First goal scorer predictions
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake DeBrusk | 5.6% |
| Linus Karlsson | 5.5% |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 4.6% |
| Brock Boeser | 4.5% |
| Evander Kane | 4.1% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 9.8% |
| William Nylander | 6.7% |
| John Tavares | 6.3% |
| Matthew Knies | 5.4% |
| Bobby McMann | 5.2% |
Canucks vs. Maple Leafs game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Maple Leafs and Canucks at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Vancouver Canucks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Canucks on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Canucks vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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