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UTSA vs. UConn prediction: Why Connecticut is favored to win women's March Madness First Round matchup [3/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get UTSA vs UConn predictions for college basketball Saturday.
UConn will take on UTSA in March Madness First Round action at Harry A. Gampel Pavilion on Saturday, starting at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects Connecticut as the most likely winner of the UTSA vs. UConn game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
UTSA vs. UConn prediction: Who will win and advance to the Second Round?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAAW Tournament matchup between UTSA and UConn 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Connecticut a 99% chance of beating UTSA.
According to our model, the 126.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
UTSA vs. UConn odds
We have researched the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | UTSA | UConn |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +55.5 (-110) | -55.5 (-110) |
| Total | o126.5 (-106) | u126.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
UTSA vs. UConn picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UTSA +55.5 | -110 |
| Total | Over 126.5 | -106 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is UTSA +55.5.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
UTSA vs. UConn game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's women's basketball action between UConn and UTSA at Harry A. Gampel Pavilion is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: UTSA vs. Connecticut
- Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Harry A. Gampel Pavilion
- March Madness stage: First Round
College basketball betting and fantasy promos and codes
Make the most of Dimers' UTSA vs. Connecticut predictions by exploring the below offers from OG, Bet365, BetMGM, and Thrillzz.
Conclusion
We predict Connecticut, with a 99% win probability, will likely beat UTSA this women's March Madness First Round matchup.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate UTSA vs. Connecticut insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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