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UTEP vs. New Mexico State prediction: New Mexico State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get UTEP vs New Mexico State predictions for college basketball Saturday.
New Mexico State will take on UTEP in men's college basketball action at Pan American Center on Saturday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects New Mexico State as the most likely winner of the UTEP vs. New Mexico State game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
UTEP vs. New Mexico State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between UTEP and New Mexico State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives New Mexico State a 76% chance of beating UTEP. Our predicted final score has New Mexico State winning 75-67.
According to our model, New Mexico State (-2.5) has a 65% chance of covering the spread, while the 142.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
UTEP vs. New Mexico State odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | UTEP | New Mexico State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (-104) | -2.5 (-120) |
| Moneyline | +260 | -180 |
| Total | o142.5 (-115) | u142.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
UTEP vs. New Mexico State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | New Mexico State -2.5 | -120 |
| Moneyline | New Mexico State | -180 |
| Total | Over 142.5 | -115 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is New Mexico State to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
UTEP vs. New Mexico State game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball action between New Mexico State and UTEP at Pan American Center is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: UTEP vs. New Mexico State
- Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Pan American Center
Conclusion
We predict New Mexico State, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat UTEP on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate UTEP vs. New Mexico State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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