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Utah State vs. Arizona prediction: Why Arizona is favored to win men's March Madness Second Round matchup [3/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Utah State vs Arizona predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Arizona will take on Utah State in March Madness Second Round action at Viejas Arena on Sunday, commencing at 7:50 PM ET.
For this Second Round clash, Arizona—a complete team with a monstrous frontcourt and NBA-level talent— take on Utah State, a squad wtih elite rim scoring led by mid-major star Mason Falslev.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Arizona as the most likely winner of the Utah State vs. Arizona game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Utah State vs. Arizona prediction: Who will win and advance to the Sweet Sixteen?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NCAAM Tournament game between Utah State and Arizona 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Arizona an 88% chance of beating Utah State. Our predicted final score has Arizona winning 83-70.
According to our model, Arizona (-11.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 154.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.
Utah State vs. Arizona odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Utah State | Arizona |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +11.5 (-102) | -11.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +580 | -750 |
| Total | o154.5 (-105) | u154.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Utah State vs. Arizona picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arizona -11.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Arizona | -750 |
| Total | Over 154.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Arizona -11.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Utah State vs. Arizona game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball action between Arizona and Utah State at Viejas Arena is scheduled to start at 7:50 PM ET.
- Who: Utah State vs. Arizona
- Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
- Time: 7:50 PM ET/4:50PM PT
- Venue: Viejas Arena
- March Madness stage: Second Round
College basketball betting and fantasy promos and codes
Make the most of Dimers' Utah State vs. Arizona predictions by exploring the below offers from OG, Bet365, BetMGM, and Thrillzz.
Conclusion
We predict Arizona, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat Utah State this men's March Madness Second Round matchup.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Utah State vs. Arizona insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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