Mammoth vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [11/5/2025]

NHL action continues on Wednesday at 7:00PM ET as the Utah Mammoth square off with the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of the Mammoth vs. Maple Leafs game.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including goal scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.

Mammoth vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NHL game between the Mammoth and the Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 56% chance of beating the Mammoth.

According to our model, the Mammoth (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Mammoth vs. Maple Leafs odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mammoth	Maple Leafs
Puck Line	+1.5 (-184)	-1.5 (+154)
Moneyline	+130	-150
Total	o6.5 (-105)	u6.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mammoth vs. Maple Leafs picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Mammoth +1.5	-184
Moneyline	Mammoth	+130
Total	Under 6.5	-110

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

Mammoth vs. Maple Leafs player props

Who will score a goal in Mammoth vs. Maple Leafs?

According to our model, Auston Matthews is most likely to score an anytime goal in Mammoth vs. Maple Leafs.

Our projections give Matthews a 46.0% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the star is a 10.1% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Utah Mammoth

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Logan Cooley	30.9%
Clayton Keller	28.2%
Dylan Guenther	28.1%
Nick Schmaltz	24.6%
JJ Peterka	23.3%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	46.0%
William Nylander	37.5%
John Tavares	33.8%
Matthew Knies	31.5%
Nicholas Robertson	19.9%

First goal scorer predictions

Utah Mammoth

Player	First Goal Probability
Clayton Keller	5.8%
Logan Cooley	5.3%
Dylan Guenther	4.8%
Nick Schmaltz	4.1%
JJ Peterka	4.0%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	10.1%
John Tavares	7.2%
William Nylander	6.9%
Matthew Knies	5.6%
Bobby McMann	3.5%

Mammoth vs. Maple Leafs game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's matchup between the Maple Leafs and Mammoth at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Utah Mammoth vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
• Date: Wednesday, November 5, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Mammoth on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mammoth vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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