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Jazz vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Memphis is favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [12/12/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Friday.
NBA action continues on Friday at 8:00PM ET as the Utah Jazz take on the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Grizzlies as the most likely winner of the Jazz vs. Grizzlies game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature stars like Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson and Cedric Coward, while the Jazz will be led by Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George and Ace Bailey.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Jazz vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA game between the Jazz and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 72% chance of defeating the Jazz. Our predicted final score has the Grizzlies winning 124-117.
According to our model, the Jazz (+7) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 243.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.
Jazz vs. Grizzlies odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jazz | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7 (-106) | -7 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +220 | -250 |
| Total | o243.5 (-108) | u243.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Jazz vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jazz +7 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Grizzlies | -250 |
| Total | Under 243.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Under 243.5 total points.
Jazz vs. Grizzlies player props
NBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Friday's Utah vs. Memphis matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.
Lauri Markkanen is expected to lead the Jazz with 26 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists, while Ja Morant is projected to have 22 points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists for the Grizzlies.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Jazz prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Jazz are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen | 26 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 41 |
| Keyonte George | 21 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 41 |
| Ace Bailey | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 27 |
| Kyle Filipowski | 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Walter Clayton | 10 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 24 |
Grizzlies prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant | 22 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 42 |
| Jaren Jackson | 20 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 36 |
| Cedric Coward | 15 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Santi Aldama | 14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 33 |
| Jock Landale | 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 28 |
Jazz vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Grizzlies and Jazz at FedExForum is scheduled to start at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: Utah Jazz vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Friday, December 12, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict the Grizzlies, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Jazz on Friday, with Ja Morant projected for a game-high 42 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jazz vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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