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Jazz vs. Cavaliers prediction: Cleveland to win, Donovan Mitchell projected for big game in Monday's NBA matchup [1/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Utah Jazz vs Cleveland Cavaliers predictions for NBA Monday.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will face the Utah Jazz in NBA action at Rocket Arena on Monday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of the Jazz vs. Cavaliers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Cavaliers lineup will feature stars like Donovan Mitchell, Darius Garland and Evan Mobley, while the Jazz will rely on Lauri Markkanen, Keyonte George and Brice Sensabaugh.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Jazz vs. Cavs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA matchup between the Jazz and Cavaliers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Cavaliers an 84% chance of defeating the Jazz. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 129-117.
According to our model, the Jazz (+13) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 250.5 points has a 58% chance of staying under.
Jazz vs. Cavaliers odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jazz | Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +13 (-106) | -13 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +525 | -700 |
| Total | o250.5 (-110) | u250.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Jazz vs. Cavaliers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jazz +13 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Jazz | +525 |
| Total | Under 250.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Under 250.5 total points.
Jazz vs. Cavaliers player props
NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Monday's Jazz vs. Cavaliers game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Rocket Arena.
Lauri Markkanen is expected to lead the Jazz with 28 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists, while Donovan Mitchell is projected to have 31 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Cavaliers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Jazz prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Jazz are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen | 28 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 46 |
| Keyonte George | 23 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 44 |
| B. Sensabaugh | 14 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| Jusuf Nurkic | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 36 |
| Walter Clayton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 21 |
Cavaliers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Cavaliers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 31 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 54 |
| Darius Garland | 20 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 41 |
| Evan Mobley | 20 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 45 |
| Jarrett Allen | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 35 |
| De'Andre Hunter | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
Jazz vs. Cavs game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Cavaliers and Jazz at Rocket Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Utah Jazz vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
- Date: Monday, January 12, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Rocket Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Cavaliers, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat the Jazz on Monday, with Donovan Mitchell projected for a game-high 54 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jazz vs. Cavaliers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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