Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Saudi Arabia and Uruguay, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests an 11.1% chance of Saudi Arabia winning, a 67.4% chance for Uruguay, and a 21.5% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 57.2% chance of staying under, with a 63.4% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Uruguay holds a 47.1% probability to win without conceding, with Saudi Arabia at 7.1%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Uruguay to win or draw at 88.9%.

Uruguay vs. Saudi Arabia odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Saudi Arabia	Uruguay	Draw
+700	-220	+333

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+110	-130

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Uruguay @ -220 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -130 via BetMGM
• Win to Nil: Uruguay @ +100 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Uruguay or Draw @ -1100 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -156 via FanDuel

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Uruguay to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Uruguay win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Saudi Arabia 0-1 Uruguay	16.6%
Saudi Arabia 0-2 Uruguay	15.1%
Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay	9.6%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 36.6% chance of both Saudi Arabia and Uruguay finding the net and a 63.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Monday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Saudi Arabia-Uruguay:

Saudi Arabia

• Salem Al-Dawsari: 12.0% probability
• Firas Buraikan: 11.7% probability
• Musab Al-Juwayr: 7.2% probability
• Mohamed Kanno: 5.2% probability
• Nasser Dawsari: 4.8% probability

Uruguay

• Darwin Nunez: 35.5% probability
• Federico Vinas: 26.5% probability
• Federico Valverde: 19.2% probability
• Maxi Araujo: 18.4% probability
• Rodrigo Bentancur: 11.3% probability

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay game-day updates and essential details

Monday's soccer World Cup matchup between Saudi Arabia and Uruguay at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:00 PM ET.

• Who: Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay
• Date: Monday, June 15, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Saudi Arabia has an 11.1% win probability on Monday, Uruguay has a 67.4% win probability, and there is a 21.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.