Sweden vs. Tunisia prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Sweden and Tunisia, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 49.3% chance of Sweden winning, a 25.1% chance for Tunisia, and a 25.5% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52.7% chance of staying under, with a 50.4% probability that both teams find the net. In the win to nil market, Sweden holds a 28.2% probability to win without conceding, with Tunisia at 13.7%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Sweden to win or draw at 74.9%.

Tunisia vs. Sweden odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Sweden	Tunisia	Draw
+100	+320	+235

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+116	-140

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sweden vs. Tunisia picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Tunisia @ +320 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +116 via FanDuel
• Win to Nil: Tunisia @ +525 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Sweden or Tunisia @ -310 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: Yes @ -105 via BetMGM

According to our best World Cup 2026 bets, the top play to make on this game is Tunisia to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Tunisia's odds provide the best value right now.

Sweden vs. Tunisia: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Sweden 1-1 Tunisia	12.1%
Sweden 1-0 Tunisia	11.9%
Sweden 2-1 Tunisia	9.4%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 50.4% chance of both Sweden and Tunisia finding the net and a 49.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Sweden vs. Tunisia player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Sunday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Sweden-Tunisia:

Sweden

• Viktor Gyokeres: 29.3% probability
• Alexander Isak: 27.2% probability
• Benjamin Nygren: 18.3% probability
• Yasin Ayari: 9.1% probability
• Daniel Svensson: 6.4% probability

Tunisia

• Firas Chaouat: 17.0% probability
• Anis Slimane: 12.4% probability
• Elias Achouri: 11.4% probability
• Hannibal : 9.5% probability
• Ali Abdi: 7.9% probability

Sweden vs. Tunisia game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's FIFA World Cup action between Sweden and Tunisia at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Sweden vs. Tunisia
• Date: Sunday, June 14, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio BBVA

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Sweden has a 49.3% win probability on Sunday, Tunisia has a 25.1% win probability, and there is a 25.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.