Troy vs. Nebraska prediction: Nebraska favored to win men's March Madness First Round matchup [3/19/2026]

Nebraska will face Troy in March Madness First Round action at Paycom Center on Thursday, commencing at 12:40 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Nebraska as the most likely winner of the Troy vs. Nebraska game.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Troy vs. Nebraska prediction: Who will win and advance to the Second Round?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAAM Tournament matchup between Troy and Nebraska 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Nebraska a 90% chance of beating Troy. Our predicted final score has Nebraska winning 76-62.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Troy and Nebraska each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 139.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Troy vs. Nebraska odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Troy	Nebraska
Spread	+13.5 (-115)	-13.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+800	-1000
Total	o139.5 (-106)	u139.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Troy vs. Nebraska picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Nebraska -13.5	-105
Moneyline	Nebraska	-1000
Total	Over 139.5	-106

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Nebraska to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Troy vs. Nebraska game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball matchup between Nebraska and Troy at Paycom Center is scheduled to start at 12:40 PM ET.

• Who: Troy vs. Nebraska
• Date: Thursday, March 19, 2026
• Time: 12:40 PM ET/9:40AM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center
• March Madness stage: First Round

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Conclusion

We predict Nebraska, with a 90% win probability, will likely beat Troy this men's March Madness First Round matchup.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Troy vs. Nebraska insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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