Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Saturday's NHL Matchup [11/30/2024]

The Tampa Bay Lightning will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at Amalie Arena on Saturday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Toronto-Tampa Bay game," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Maple Leafs are more likely to win, while the Lightning have a lower chance of victory."

For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Maple Leafs vs. Lightning predictions page.

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Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's game between the Lightning and Maple Leafs at Amalie Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Saturday, November 30, 2024
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Amalie Arena
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Maple Leafs vs. Lightning matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Toronto vs. Tampa Bay picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Maple Leafs and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 52% chance of defeating the Lightning.

According to our model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Maple Leafs	Lightning
Puck Line	-1.5 (+180)	+1.5 (-215)
Moneyline	-140	+120
Total	o6.5 (+105)	u6.5 (-125)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Picks

Our model's strongest edge in today's Maple Leafs vs. Lightning matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Matthews a 10.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 44.9% chance of registering an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	10.3%
William Nylander	8.4%
John Tavares	5.1%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	First Goal Probability
Brayden Point	10.3%
Jake Guentzel	7.4%
Nikita Kucherov	7.4%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	44.9%
William Nylander	39.4%
Mitch Marner	28.7%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point	45.0%
Jake Guentzel	37.8%
Nikita Kucherov	36.8%

Conclusion

We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Lightning on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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