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Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win NHL Game [10/9/2024]

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Written by Nick Slade
Toronto Maple Leafs-Montreal Canadiens Predictions and Game Preview.
Bell Centre sets the stage for the NHL matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Montreal Canadiens this Wednesday.

NHL action continues on Wednesday at 7:00PM ET as the Toronto Maple Leafs lock horns with the Montreal Canadiens at Bell Centre.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Maple Leafs-Canadiens game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Maple Leafs' chance of winning at 61%, with the Canadiens at 39%."

Maple Leafs vs. Habs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's game between the Canadiens and Maple Leafs at Bell Centre is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Wednesday's Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NHL matchup between the Maple Leafs and Canadiens 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 61% chance of defeating the Canadiens.

According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:15PM, Oct 9
Moneyline
Over / Under
Puck Line
Maple Leafs
Win %
61%
39%
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See Matchup
Canadiens
Maple Leafs TOR
Win %
61%
39%
See Matchup
Canadiens MTL
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Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Maple Leafs Canadiens
Puck Line -1.5 (+130) +1.5 (-150)
Moneyline -192 +165
Total o6.5 (-110) u6.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.

Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens?

According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens.

Our projections give Matthews an 11.4% chance of scoring the first goal at Bell Centre, while the Maple Leafs star is a 51.7% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 11.4%
William Nylander 7.6%
Mitch Marner 6.1%

Montreal Canadiens

Player First Goal Probability
Nick Suzuki 6.2%
Cole Caufield 5.0%
Juraj Slafkovsky 4.8%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews 51.7%
William Nylander 37.2%
Mitch Marner 32.9%

Montreal Canadiens

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Nick Suzuki 32.0%
Cole Caufield 28.2%
Juraj Slafkovsky 26.9%

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To make the most of Wednesday's huge day of sports, headlined by a huge day of NHL action, check out details on the latest Bet365 bonus code DIMERS that secures the choice of two excellent signup promos. Don't miss out!

Conclusion

We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NHL

Keep up with the latest NHL news and our data-led NHL best bets and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most accurate probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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