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Toledo vs. Ohio prediction: Close contest projected after new data released for men's college basketball matchup [2/28/2026]
Get Toledo vs Ohio predictions for college basketball Saturday.

Ohio and Toledo will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Convocation Center Ohio on Saturday, with tipoff at 4:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives an equal chance for both both teams to win the Toledo-Ohio matchup.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's Toledo vs. Ohio matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Toledo vs. Ohio prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Toledo and Ohio 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently can't split the two teams, giving both Toledo and Ohio a 50% chance of winning the game. Our predicted score is Toledo 78-78 Ohio.
According to our model, Toledo (+1.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 158.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
While there is no way for a men's college basketball game to end in a tie, our prediction of 78-78 is based on each team's average score in the above-mentioned simulations of Toledo vs. Ohio.
Toledo vs. Ohio odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Toledo | Ohio |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-102) | -1.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +115 | -135 |
| Total | o158.5 (-114) | u158.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Toledo vs. Ohio picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Toledo +1.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Toledo | +115 |
| Total | Under 158.5 | -106 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Toledo +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Toledo vs. Ohio game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball action between Ohio and Toledo at Convocation Center Ohio is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toledo vs. Ohio
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: Convocation Center Ohio
Conclusion
We predict a close game between Toledo and Ohio on Saturday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toledo vs. Ohio insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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