Texas vs. Purdue prediction: Why Purdue is favored to win men's March Madness Sweet Sixteen matchup [3/26/2026]

Purdue will face Texas in March Madness Sweet Sixteen action at SAP Center at San Jose on Thursday, beginning at 7:10 PM ET.

For this NCAA Tournament clash, Purdue—a veteran group led by the winningest senior class in school history— face Texas, a strong rebounding team with a top-10 offense.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Purdue as the most likely winner of the Texas vs. Purdue game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Texas vs. Purdue prediction: Who will win and advance to the Elite Eight?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAAM Tournament game between Texas and Purdue, forming part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Purdue a 78% chance of defeating Texas. Our predicted final score has Purdue winning 78-70.

According to our model, Purdue (-8.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 147.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.

Texas vs. Purdue odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Texas vs. Purdue picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: