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Texas Tech vs. Alabama prediction: Why Alabama is favored to win men's March Madness Second Round matchup [3/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Texas Tech vs Alabama predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Alabama will face Texas Tech, in what is expected to be a close men's college basketball game, at Benchmark International Arena on Sunday, starting at 9:55 PM ET.
For this Second Round matchup, Alabama—a roster full of explosive three-point shooting guards— face Texas Tech, an offensive juggernaut without superstar JT Toppin.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model gives Alabama a slight edge with a 54% win probability over Texas Tech.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's Texas Tech vs. Alabama matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Texas Tech vs. Alabama prediction: Who will win and advance to the Sweet Sixteen?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NCAAM Tournament matchup between Texas Tech and Alabama 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Alabama a 54% chance of beating Texas Tech. Our predicted final score has Alabama winning 82-81.
According to our model, Texas Tech (+1.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 164.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Texas Tech vs. Alabama odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Texas Tech | Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-115) | -1.5 (-104) |
| Moneyline | +100 | -115 |
| Total | o164.5 (-108) | u164.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Texas Tech vs. Alabama picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Alabama -1.5 | -104 |
| Moneyline | Alabama | -115 |
| Total | Over 164.5 | -108 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Alabama to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Texas Tech vs. Alabama game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball action between Alabama and Texas Tech at Benchmark International Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:55 PM ET.
- Who: Texas Tech vs. Alabama
- Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
- Time: 9:55 PM ET/6:55PM PT
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
- March Madness stage: Second Round
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Conclusion
We predict Alabama, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Texas Tech this men's March Madness Second Round matchup.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texas Tech vs. Alabama insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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