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Tennessee vs. Michigan prediction: Why Michigan is favored to win men's March Madness Elite Eight matchup [3/29/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Tennessee vs Michigan predictions for college basketball Sunday.

Tennessee-Michigan Predictions and Game Preview.
Tennessee vs. Michigan March Madness prediction for Sunday, March 29, 2026.

Michigan will take on Tennessee in March Madness Elite Eight action at United Center on Sunday, starting at 2:15 PM ET.

For this Elite Eight game, Michigan—the first Big Ten team in 50 years to go 10–0 on the road in conference play— come up against Tennessee, an elite rebounding team built around defense.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Michigan as the most likely winner of the Tennessee vs. Michigan game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Tennessee vs. Michigan prediction: Who will win and advance to the Final Four?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NCAAM Tournament game between Tennessee and Michigan, forming part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Michigan a 78% chance of defeating Tennessee. Our predicted final score has Michigan winning 78-70.

According to our model, Tennessee (+8.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 146.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.

 

Tennessee vs. Michigan odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Tennessee Michigan
Spread +8.5 (-112) -8.5 (-102)
Moneyline +340 -400
Total o146.5 (-105) u146.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tennessee vs. Michigan picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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