Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State prediction: Why Tennessee State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/6/2026]

Tennessee State and Tennessee-Martin are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at Ford Center on Friday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Tennessee State as the most likely winner of the Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State game.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NCAA basketball matchup between Tennessee-Martin and Tennessee State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Tennessee State a 56% chance of beating Tennessee-Martin. Our predicted final score has Tennessee State winning 70-69.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and Tennessee-Martin and Tennessee State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 137.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.

Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Tennessee-Martin	Tennessee State
Spread	+1.5 (-105)	-1.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+114	-130
Total	o137.5 (-105)	u137.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Tennessee-Martin +1.5	-105
Moneyline	Tennessee State	-130
Total	Over 137.5	-105

According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 137.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State game-day updates and essential details

Friday's men's college basketball game between Tennessee State and Tennessee-Martin at Ford Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State
• Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Ford Center

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Conclusion

We predict Tennessee State, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Tennessee-Martin on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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