Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Toronto Predicted to Win Monday's NHL Game [10/21/2024]

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning will lock horns in the NHL at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, starting at 7:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Lightning-Maple Leafs game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows the Maple Leafs are likely to win, with a probability of 54%, compared to the Lightning's 46%."

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Monday's matchup between the Maple Leafs and Lightning at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
• Date: Monday, October 21, 2024
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena
• Tickets: Get tickets for the game on Ticketmaster

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Monday's Lightning vs. Maple Leafs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Maple Leafs vs. Lightning picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Puck Line?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL game between the Lightning and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 54% chance of defeating the Lightning.

According to our model, the Lightning (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 51% chance of staying under.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Lightning	Maple Leafs
Puck Line	+1.5 (-220)	-1.5 (+185)
Moneyline	+115	-130
Total	o6.5 (-110)	u6.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Picks

Our model's biggest edge in today's Lightning vs. Maple Leafs matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Maple Leafs?

According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Maple Leafs.

Our projections give Matthews a 10.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 47.2% chance of netting an anytime goal.

First Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	First Goal Probability
Brayden Point	7.6%
Nikita Kucherov	7.5%
Jake Guentzel	6.1%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	First Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	10.8%
William Nylander	6.7%
Mitch Marner	5.4%

Anytime Goal Scorer Predictions

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Brayden Point	39.5%
Nikita Kucherov	37.3%
Jake Guentzel	33.0%

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Auston Matthews	47.2%
William Nylander	33.9%
Mitch Marner	28.5%

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Conclusion

We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Lightning on Monday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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