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Lightning vs. Devils prediction: Tampa Bay favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [12/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils predictions for NHL Thursday.
The New Jersey Devils will take on the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at Prudential Center on Thursday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Lightning as the most likely winner of the Lightning vs. Devils game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Lightning vs. Devils prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Lightning and Devils 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Lightning a 55% chance of beating the Devils.
According to our model, the Devils (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 51% chance of staying under.
Lightning vs. Devils odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lightning | Devils |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+205) | +1.5 (-220) |
| Moneyline | -125 | +110 |
| Total | o6 (-110) | u6 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lightning vs. Devils picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Lightning -1.5 | +205 |
| Moneyline | Lightning | -125 |
| Total | Under 6 | -110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Lightning -1.5 at the spread.
Lightning vs. Devils player props
Who will score a goal in Lightning vs. Devils?
According to our model, Jake Guentzel is most likely to score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Devils.
Our projections give Guentzel a 38.0% chance of scoring a goal at Prudential Center, while the star is an 8.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 38.0% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 35.3% |
| Brayden Point | 32.7% |
| Brandon Hagel | 31.7% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 25.2% |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Timo Meier | 35.3% |
| Nico Hischier | 31.9% |
| Jesper Bratt | 26.3% |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | 24.4% |
| Dawson Mercer | 24.1% |
First goal scorer predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 8.5% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 7.1% |
| Brayden Point | 6.5% |
| Brandon Hagel | 6.4% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 4.8% |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Timo Meier | 7.5% |
| Nico Hischier | 5.6% |
| Jesper Bratt | 4.8% |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | 4.3% |
| Dawson Mercer | 4.2% |
Lightning vs. Devils game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Devils and Lightning at Prudential Center is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New Jersey Devils
- Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Prudential Center
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Devils on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Devils insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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