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Lightning vs. Devils prediction: Tampa Bay favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [12/11/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Tampa Bay Lightning vs New Jersey Devils predictions for NHL Thursday.
NHL action continues on Thursday at 7:00PM ET as the Tampa Bay Lightning lock horns with the New Jersey Devils at Prudential Center.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of the Lightning vs. Devils game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Lightning vs. Devils prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL game between the Lightning and Devils 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lightning a 56% chance of defeating the Devils.
According to our model, the Devils (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Lightning vs. Devils odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lightning | Devils |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+185) | +1.5 (-215) |
| Moneyline | -134 | +115 |
| Total | o6 (-105) | u6 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lightning vs. Devils picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Lightning -1.5 | +185 |
| Moneyline | Lightning | -134 |
| Total | Over 6 | -105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Lightning -1.5 at the spread.
Lightning vs. Devils player props
Who will score a goal in Lightning vs. Devils?
According to our model, Jake Guentzel is most likely to score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Devils.
Our projections give Guentzel a 38.8% chance of scoring a goal at Prudential Center, while the star is an 8.4% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 38.8% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 34.9% |
| Brandon Hagel | 32.4% |
| Brayden Point | 32.0% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 24.7% |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nico Hischier | 35.2% |
| Jesper Bratt | 29.6% |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | 27.4% |
| Dawson Mercer | 26.5% |
| Simon Nemec | 17.5% |
First goal scorer predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 8.4% |
| Brayden Point | 6.7% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 6.7% |
| Brandon Hagel | 6.2% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 4.4% |
New Jersey Devils
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nico Hischier | 7.9% |
| Jesper Bratt | 5.6% |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | 4.9% |
| Dawson Mercer | 4.7% |
| Ondrej Palat | 3.1% |
Lightning vs. Devils game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Devils and Lightning at Prudential Center is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New Jersey Devils
- Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Prudential Center
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Devils on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Devils insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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