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Lightning vs. Bruins prediction: Tampa Bay favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [10/13/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins predictions for NHL Monday.
The Boston Bruins will take on the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at TD Garden on Monday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of today's game.
For a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lightning vs. Bruins predictions page.
Lightning vs. Bruins prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL matchup between the Lightning and Bruins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lightning a 58% chance of defeating the Bruins.
According to our model, the Bruins (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Lightning vs. Bruins odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lightning | Bruins |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+154) | +1.5 (-175) |
| Moneyline | -156 | +140 |
| Total | o6 (-120) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Lightning vs. Bruins picks and best bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Lightning vs. Bruins matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Lightning vs. Bruins player props
Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Bruins?
According to our model, Boston's David Pastrnak is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Bruins.
Our projections give Pastrnak a 9.5% chance of scoring the first goal at TD Garden, while the Bruins star is a 44.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.
First goal scorer predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 8.9% |
| Jake Guentzel | 8.1% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 8.0% |
Boston Bruins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 9.5% |
| Morgan Geekie | 7.1% |
| Pavel Zacha | 4.2% |
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brayden Point | 43.0% |
| Jake Guentzel | 41.8% |
| Nikita Kucherov | 38.3% |
Boston Bruins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 44.1% |
| Morgan Geekie | 34.8% |
| Pavel Zacha | 23.7% |
Lightning vs. Bruins game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Bruins and Lightning at TD Garden is scheduled to begin at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins
- Date: Monday, October 13, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: TD Garden
Dimers' in-depth preview of Monday's Lightning vs. Bruins matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Lightning vs. Bruins picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Bruins on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lightning vs. Bruins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Stay informed with the latest NHL news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds offer the latest probabilities for the Stanley Cup title.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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