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Stephen F. Austin vs. Missouri State prediction: Why Missouri State is favored to win women's March Madness First Four matchup [3/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Stephen F. Austin vs Missouri State predictions for college basketball Wednesday.
Missouri State and Stephen F. Austin will lock horns in women's March Madness First Four action at Moody Center on Wednesday, with tipoff at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' new women's basketball model predicts Missouri State as the most likely winner of the Stephen F. Austin vs. Missouri State game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Stephen F. Austin vs. Missouri State prediction: Who will win and advance to the First Round?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAAW Tournament matchup between Stephen F. Austin and Missouri State 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Missouri State a 62% chance of defeating Stephen F. Austin.
According to our model, the 138.5-point over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Stephen F. Austin vs. Missouri State odds
We have researched the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Stephen F. Austin | Missouri State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-110) | -3.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +145 | -164 |
| Total | o138.5 (-110) | u138.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stephen F. Austin vs. Missouri State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Missouri State -3.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Missouri State | -164 |
| Total | Under 138.5 | -110 |
According to our women's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Missouri State to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Stephen F. Austin vs. Missouri State game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's women's basketball game between Missouri State and Stephen F. Austin at Moody Center is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Stephen F. Austin vs. Missouri State
- Date: Wednesday, March 18, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Moody Center
- March Madness stage: First Four
College basketball betting and fantasy promos and codes
Make the most of Dimers' Stephen F. Austin vs. Missouri State predictions by exploring the below offers from OG, Bet365, BetMGM, and Thrillzz, .
Conclusion
We predict Missouri State, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Stephen F. Austin this women's March Madness First Four matchup.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Stephen F. Austin vs. Missouri State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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