Blues vs. Capitals prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [11/5/2025]

The Washington Capitals will take on the St. Louis Blues in NHL action at Capital One Arena on Wednesday, beginning at 7:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Capitals as the most likely winner of the Blues vs. Capitals game.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including goal scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.

Blues vs. Caps prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NHL game between the Blues and Capitals 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Capitals a 55% chance of beating the Blues.

According to our model, the Blues (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of going over.

Blues vs. Capitals odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Blues	Capitals
Puck Line	+1.5 (-200)	-1.5 (+170)
Moneyline	+130	-148
Total	o5.5 (-105)	u5.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Blues vs. Capitals picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Blues +1.5	-200
Moneyline	Blues	+130
Total	Over 5.5	-105

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blues to win.

Blues vs. Capitals player props

Who will score a goal in Blues vs. Capitals?

According to our model, Alex Ovechkin is most likely to score an anytime goal in Blues vs. Capitals.

Our projections give Ovechkin a 34.0% chance of scoring a goal at Capital One Arena, while the star is a 6.6% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

St. Louis Blues

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Jordan Kyrou	31.7%
Dylan Holloway	30.4%
Robert Thomas	23.0%
Dalibor Dvorsky	22.5%
Pius Suter	22.4%

Washington Capitals

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Alex Ovechkin	34.0%
Dylan Strome	31.7%
Aliaksei Protas	31.4%
Tom Wilson	28.5%
Connor McMichael	21.7%

First goal scorer predictions

St. Louis Blues

Player	First Goal Probability
Jordan Kyrou	6.8%
Dylan Holloway	6.4%
Robert Thomas	4.7%
Dalibor Dvorsky	4.3%
Pius Suter	4.3%

Washington Capitals

Player	First Goal Probability
Alex Ovechkin	6.6%
Aliaksei Protas	6.3%
Dylan Strome	5.9%
Tom Wilson	5.5%
Connor McMichael	4.1%

Blues vs. Caps game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's action between the Capitals and Blues at Capital One Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: St. Louis Blues vs. Washington Capitals
• Date: Wednesday, November 5, 2025
• Time: 7:30PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Capital One Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Capitals, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Blues on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Blues vs. Capitals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NHL

Stay informed with the latest NHL betting news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most accurate projections for the Stanley Cup title.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.