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Carlton Blues vs. St Kilda Saints prediction: Why Saints are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 8 matchup [5/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Carlton Blues vs St Kilda Saints predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Carlton Blues will take on the St Kilda Saints in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 5:35 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Saints as the most likely winner of the Saints vs. Blues game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Blues vs. Saints prediction: Who will win Round 8 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL game between the Saints and Blues, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Saints a 63% chance of defeating the Blues.
According to our model, the Blues (+12.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 182.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
St Kilda vs. Carlton odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Saints | Blues |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -200 | +160 |
| Line (Spread) | -12.5 (-110) | +12.5 (-115) |
| Total | o182.5 (-115) | u182.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Saints vs. Blues picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Blues +12.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Blues | +160 |
| Total | Under 182.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blues +12.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Blues vs. Saints game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football game between the Blues and Saints at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:35 AM ET.
- Who: St Kilda Saints vs. Carlton Blues
- Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
- Time: 5:35 AM ET/2:35AM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Saints, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Blues in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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