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Southern Miss vs. Troy prediction: Why Troy is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Southern Miss vs Troy predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Troy will take on Southern Miss in men's college basketball action at Pensacola Bay Center on Sunday, commencing at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Troy as the most likely winner of the Southern Miss vs. Troy game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Southern Miss vs. Troy prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NCAA basketball matchup between Southern Miss and Troy 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Troy a 73% chance of defeating Southern Miss. Our predicted final score has Troy winning 75-68.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Southern Miss and Troy each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 142.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.
Southern Miss vs. Troy odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Southern Miss | Troy |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-102) | -5.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +210 | -250 |
| Total | o142.5 (-110) | u142.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Southern Miss vs. Troy picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Southern Miss +5.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Troy | -250 |
| Total | Over 142.5 | -110 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Troy to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Southern Miss vs. Troy game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball matchup between Troy and Southern Miss at Pensacola Bay Center is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Southern Miss vs. Troy
- Date: Sunday, March 8, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Pensacola Bay Center
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Conclusion
We predict Troy, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Southern Miss on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Southern Miss vs. Troy insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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