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Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State prediction: Why Arkansas State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Southern Miss vs Arkansas State predictions for college basketball Tuesday.
Arkansas State and Southern Miss will meet in men's college basketball action at First National Bank Arena on Tuesday, with tipoff at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model predicts Arkansas State as the most likely winner of the Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Southern Miss and Arkansas State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Arkansas State a 79% chance of beating Southern Miss. Our predicted final score has Arkansas State winning 84-74.
According to our model, Arkansas State (-8.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 158.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Southern Miss | Arkansas State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-104) | -8.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | +375 | -455 |
| Total | o158.5 (-115) | u158.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arkansas State -8.5 | -118 |
| Moneyline | Southern Miss | +375 |
| Total | Under 158.5 | -105 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Southern Miss to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's men's college basketball game between Arkansas State and Southern Miss at First National Bank Arena is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State
- Date: Tuesday, February 24, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: First National Bank Arena
Conclusion
We predict Arkansas State, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat Southern Miss on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Southern Miss vs. Arkansas State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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