USF vs. Memphis prediction: Why South Florida is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/5/2026]

Men's college basketball action continues on Thursday at 9:00 PM ET as the favored USF locks horns with Memphis in men's college basketball action at FedExForum.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts South Florida as the most likely winner of the USF vs. Memphis game.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

USF vs. Memphis prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between USF and Memphis 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives South Florida a 73% chance of defeating Memphis. Our predicted final score has South Florida winning 81-75.

According to our model, Memphis (+7.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 162.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

USF vs. Memphis odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	USF	Memphis
Spread	-7.5 (-106)	+7.5 (-110)
Moneyline	-298	+265
Total	o162.5 (-110)	u162.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

USF vs. Memphis picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Memphis +7.5	-110
Moneyline	Memphis	+265
Total	Under 162.5	-110

According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Memphis +7.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

USF vs. Memphis game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball game between Memphis and USF at FedExForum is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: South Florida vs. Memphis
• Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: FedExForum

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Conclusion

We predict South Florida, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Memphis on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate South Florida vs. Memphis insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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