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South Dakota State vs. South Dakota prediction: South Dakota State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get South Dakota State vs South Dakota predictions for college basketball Saturday.
South Dakota will square off with South Dakota State in men's college basketball action at Sanford Coyote Sports Center on Saturday, commencing at 2:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects South Dakota State as the most likely winner of the South Dakota State vs. South Dakota game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
South Dakota State vs. South Dakota prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between South Dakota State and South Dakota 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives South Dakota State a 66% chance of defeating South Dakota. Our predicted final score has South Dakota State winning 78-74.
According to our model, South Dakota State (-3.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 151.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
South Dakota State vs. South Dakota odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | South Dakota State | South Dakota |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -3.5 (-105) | +3.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -170 | +150 |
| Total | o151.5 (-105) | u151.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
South Dakota State vs. South Dakota picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | South Dakota State -3.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | South Dakota State | -170 |
| Total | Over 151.5 | -105 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is South Dakota State -3.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
South Dakota State vs. South Dakota game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball matchup between South Dakota and South Dakota State at Sanford Coyote Sports Center is scheduled to start at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: South Dakota State vs. South Dakota
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
- Venue: Sanford Coyote Sports Center
Conclusion
We predict South Dakota State, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat South Dakota on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate South Dakota State vs. South Dakota insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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